Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 5.637957 6.433332 7.311882 8.356139 9.565935 10.926249 12.575681
2025-03-16 4.440671 5.438104 6.627902 8.158388 10.084416 12.440214 15.558884
2025-03-23 3.935351 5.078626 6.522943 8.495163 11.139246 14.591162 19.487346
2025-03-30 3.496564 4.705760 6.305523 8.598613 11.836659 16.298529 23.003904
2025-04-06 3.112890 4.340343 6.028994 8.551866 12.277122 17.656565 26.161020
2025-04-13 2.792325 4.015878 5.757956 8.457785 12.606131 18.853726 29.194107
2025-04-20 2.621697 3.882176 5.736029 8.711019 13.459662 20.907125 33.795222
2025-04-27 2.458977 3.739296 5.678972 8.893006 14.207060 22.861471 38.477255
2025-05-04 2.349912 3.664890 5.714170 9.215731 15.205125 25.322758 44.339712
2025-05-11 2.139236 3.408380 5.434191 8.987447 15.244632 26.152945 47.395244
2025-05-18 1.975700 3.212676 5.232917 8.866673 15.447859 27.277225 51.123835
2025-05-25 1.835407 3.042666 5.057678 8.769880 15.676151 28.460017 55.107203
2025-06-01 1.699713 2.871214 4.868502 8.635570 15.831932 29.546162 59.101225
2025-06-08 1.567969 2.695694 4.657017 8.439043 15.847122 30.360591 62.649888
2025-06-15 1.531070 2.684384 4.735306 8.789493 16.957738 33.469072 71.559118
2025-06-22 1.462397 2.609440 4.690358 8.896978 17.591605 35.674791 78.799337
2025-06-29 1.379100 2.500604 4.572693 8.848464 17.896564 37.217838 84.741896
2025-07-06 1.297005 2.387562 4.437520 8.750806 18.084948 38.525391 90.316986
2025-07-13 1.264019 2.365752 4.476348 9.013678 19.079195 41.747513 101.123209
2025-07-20 1.224574 2.328089 4.480348 9.202607 19.928929 44.742165 111.847814
2025-07-27 1.202675 2.323346 4.549579 9.537677 21.147648 48.762376 125.976289
2025-08-03 1.125003 2.200268 4.366806 9.300657 21.004204 49.452241 131.104117
2025-08-10 1.063871 2.106891 4.238943 9.175269 21.113768 50.785914 138.277197